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Journal of Research on 

Technology in Education

Edited by Dr. David J. Ayersman, Mary Washington College, and Dr. W. Michael Reed, New York University

Incoming editor: Dr. Lynne Schrum, University of Georgia

formerly Journal of Research on Computing in Education

Volume 35 Number 2 Winter 2002—2003

Predicting Success of Virtual High School Students: Preliminary Results from an Educational Success Prediction Instrument
M. D. Roblyer
University of Maryland University College
Jon C. Marshall
State University of West Georgia

Abstract
Results are reported on a preliminary use of the Members OnlyEducational Success Prediction Instrument (ESPRI), a measure designed to discriminate between successful and unsuccessful students in virtual high school (VHS) courses and provide a basis for counseling and support for future VHS students to make them more effective online learners. When used with 135 students in 13 virtual high schools, the instrument was found to discriminate with high accuracy and reliability between groups of successful and unsuccessful students. Suggestions are given for how ESPRI results might be used to help VHS students, and recommendations are discussed for further research in this area.

Contributors
Dr. M. D. Roblyer is an adjunct professor of educational technology in the Graduate School of Management and Technology at the University of Maryland University College, teaching online from her home in Georgia. She has been a writer and researcher in educational technology for more than 25 years. Her specialty areas are instructional design of technology-based learning materials and research on characteristics of online learners. Dr. Jon C. Marshall is a professor of educational leadership in the Educational Leadership and Foundations Department in the College of Education at the State University of West Georgia. He has been active in evaluation and research for more than 35 years. His specialty areas are measurement and statistics with application to organizational development.

Contact
Dr. M. D. Roblyer
300 Hidden Lakes Dr.
Carrollton, GA 30116
mroblyer@polaris.umuc.edu

A PDF file of the full articles is available. Contact: jrte@iste.org. Please specifiy Volume and Issue number and article name.

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